Housing predictions for the rest of the year

Published | Written by Steve Hudson

According to the National Association of Realtors, interest Rates just hit 7% for the first time in 20 years! 

What's in store for interest rates for the rest of the year? Here's what the experts are saying: 

As we all know, keeping tabs on mortgage rate projections is crucial for anyone considering buying a home, refinancing, or making any major real estate decisions. 

Q3 Projections: Finding Consensus at 6.6%

We've gathered data from three sources:

  • The Federal National Mortgage Association (Fannie Mae)

  • The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA)

  • The National Association of Realtors (NAR)

Each of these organizations has weighed in on where they believe rates are headed, and there seems to be a consensus emerging.

  • Fannie Mae: They project a rate of 6.8% for Q3. While this may seem high, it's essential to consider multiple forecasts to get a clearer picture.

  • MBA: The Mortgage Bankers Association projects a slightly lower rate of 6.6% for the same period.

  • NAR: The National Association of Realtors is even more optimistic, predicting a rate of 6.5%.

When we take the average of these projections, it comes out to be approximately 6.6%. This suggests that experts are cautiously optimistic about a relatively stable rate in Q3.

Q4 Projections: Signs of Easing at 6.2%

Now, let's shift our focus to the fourth quarter of 2023. The forecasts for this period show a slight decline in mortgage rates compared to Q3.

  • Fannie Mae: Their projection for Q4 is 6.6%.

  • MBA: The Mortgage Bankers Association foresees a more significant drop, with a rate of 5.5%.

  • NAR: The National Association of Realtors projects a rate of 6.3%.

When we average these three together, we get a rate of approximately 6.2% when we average these projections. This indicates that experts anticipate some easing in mortgage rates as we head into the year's final quarter.

What's Driving These Projections?

Now, let's address the big question: What's driving these mortgage rate projections for Q3 and Q4 of 2023? As the experts suggest, much of it hinges on inflation.

Where mortgage rates go for the rest of the year will depend on inflation. Based on historical trends, rates will likely ease as inflation cools.

The Federal Reserve has closely monitored inflation and is expected to adjust its monetary policy accordingly. If they continue to take measures to cool down inflation, it could translate into more favorable mortgage rates for borrowers.

Conclusion: Stay Informed and Be Prepared

In conclusion, staying informed about mortgage rate projections is essential, especially if you're planning any significant real estate transactions in the coming months. While Q3 may see rates hovering around 6.6%, there's a good chance of a slight dip in Q4, depending on what happens with inflation.

Remember that these projections are not set in stone; various factors can influence your mortgage rate.

For more housing market updates, check HudsonAdvantageRealty.com, where we'll keep you informed on the latest developments in the market. For all the right moves, you need the Hudson Advantage!

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